US Foreign Policy
Donald Trump has always considered himself exceptional—that is, an exception to the rules. As a tycoon, he has demonstrated that multiple bankruptcies and an utter contempt for business associates have not hindered his accumulation of wealth. As a politician, he has shown that the same outrageous statements and scandals that have sunk other careers have… Continue reading Trump Trapped
Asia, Korea
It has long been the dream of the U.S. foreign policy elite to bring Japan and South Korea into a tighter alliance. Notoriously dismissive of history, American leaders don’t understand why the two countries can’t just overcome their past differences. For these Americans, the imperative of strengthened security in the region is so much more… Continue reading Japan and South Korea: An Alliance of Middle Powers
Europe
This week, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth was on hand in Normandy for the eighty-second anniversary of the D-Day invasion. He made the usual remarks about U.S. dedication to defending freedom, just as he did last year on a similar occasion. This time around, however, Hegseth veered off into controversial territory. Not that you can… Continue reading Pete Hegseth’s Invasions
Asia, Environment
Early adopters pay a premium for their embrace of innovation. If you bought one of the first electric cars in the United States, you had limited range, long charging times, and very little infrastructure to support you on anything but the shortest journeys. If you’d held out just a little bit longer, you could have… Continue reading Saving the Planet Depends on Asia
Korea, US Domestic Policy
Ever since North Korea suffered through the death of its first leader in 1994, a loss magnified by an economic collapse and a devastating famine, outside observers have likened the country to an airplane experiencing a serious malfunction. The major question they posed: in the end, would North Korea experience a soft landing or a… Continue reading What Can North Korea Tell Us about America’s Future?
Korea, Russia and Eastern Europe
The Kremlin can count on only one real ally in its war in Ukraine. Belarus has offered its territory for the staging of the war, and China has provided some dual-use exports that certainly contribute to the war effort. But only one country has sent a significant number of troops to fight alongside the Russians:… Continue reading Russia and North Korea: An Alliance of Desperation
Korea
In the summer of 1998, I traveled to the northeast region of China to visit a unique educational institution. The Yanbian University of Science and Technology (YUST), founded six years before, was the first private and the first foreign university to emerge under Chinese communism. Located in a region populated by many Korean-Chinese, YUST trained… Continue reading Digging Up North Korea’s Christian Roots
Environment
When Stalin wanted to get rid of someone, he didn’t just have them executed with a shot to the back of the head. He attempted to remove the offending person from history as well by excising their name from encyclopedias and airbrushing their image from photographs. In one infamous photo of two dozen Communist leaders… Continue reading The Airbrushing of Climate Change
Russia and Eastern Europe
The source of Russia’s global power derives not from sophisticated technology, an advanced service sector, or a cadre of entrepreneurs. Russia’s power is almost entirely backward-looking. Its geopolitical position rests on a base of prehistoric vegetation. That vegetation, of course, has ended up as Russia’s reserves of oil, natural gas, and coal. About one-quarter of the… Continue reading Why Russia’s Backwardness Benefits Putin
Eastern Europe, Europe, Russia and Eastern Europe
To figure out the future trajectory of Europe, Bulgaria is as good a place as any to start. On the edge of the European Union bordering Turkey and the Black Sea, the Balkan nation is, as of 2014, one of the newest members of the union. It is also the poorest EU member, and one of… Continue reading Where on Earth Is Europe Heading?
Eastern Europe, Russia and Eastern Europe
In the universe of far-right politics, the three members of the Axis of Evil are Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Viktor Orban. The first presides over the most powerful country in the world. The second launched the first major land invasion in Europe in over 75 years. The third has done his best to destroy… Continue reading The Axis of Evil Suffers a Big Loss
US Foreign Policy
Before he became one of the great diplomats of the twentieth century, Henry Kissinger wrote his dissertation about the Austrian statesman Klemens von Metternich. Kissinger closely studied how European diplomats like Metternich constructed a new regional order after the defeat of Napoleon. Metternich was an early expert in the art of herding cats, with the… Continue reading Negotiating with Bombs
US Domestic Policy
The latest technology can prove decisive in war. Think of the atomic bomb in World War II. Or the stirrup in the Mongol conquest of Europe and the Middle East. More recently, after the two sides had been deadlocked for decades, Azerbaijan defeated Armenia in 2020 in a matter of days and took over the… Continue reading Artificial Intelligence vs. Human Stupidity
Environment
To combat climate change, the entire world has to make the transition away from fossil fuels. If a major emitter like the United States or India doesn’t substantially reduce its emissions, it will doom the entire enterprise. As never before in human history, richer and poorer must work together. But what will that joint action… Continue reading The Case for Global Climate Reparations
US Foreign Policy
World War III will not start with an exchange of nuclear weapons. It won’t ignite from the jostling of great empires. Nor will it result from a single madman (or two) bent on taking over the world. It won’t be any of those things because World War III has already begun. The current global conflagration… Continue reading It’s Already a World War
US Domestic Policy
An elected leader who tries to seize absolute power through a military coup commits the most serious political transgression that can take place in a democracy. In December 2024, Yoon Suk Yeol attempted just such a coup to overcome opposition in the National Assembly that he called “anti-state” and blamed for the country’s political paralysis.… Continue reading This Is What Accountability Looks Like
Economics
The Supreme Court’s decision is clear. The president did not have the authority to impose most of his tariffs. Trump argued that, under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, his actions were justified because of a national emergency caused by a foreign threat. In the 6-3 ruling, the Court said that, on the contrary, that… Continue reading The Silver Lining Behind Trump’s Tariff Tantrum
US Foreign Policy
A mere 15 years ago, during an epoch that now seems as distant as the Paleozoic era, an American president attempted to use military power to prevent a dictator from slaughtering his own citizens. Barack Obama billed the action in Libya as a humanitarian intervention, citing the new U.N. doctrine of “responsibility to protect” (R2P).… Continue reading Trump Goes Rogue as Globocop
US Foreign Policy
By some measures, the Palestinian bid for statehood has never been stronger. By the end of last year, at least 157 countries had recognized the state of Palestine, which represents slightly more than 80 percent of the world’s nations. Some of those countries are quite powerful, such as China, India, Indonesia, the UK, France, Australia,… Continue reading The Disappearance of Palestine
China
China has been nipping at the heels of the United States for a quarter of a century. By some measures, the size of the Chinese economy exceeded that of the United States about a decade ago. China has a huge trade surplus thanks to the fact that it is the leading trade partner of 145… Continue reading Trump Delivers Lunch to Beijing
US Foreign Policy
At the World Economic Forum this year, the audience of wealthy and powerful was treated to the kind of trash-talking that was once reserved for the likes of the Jerry Springer Show. Powerful leaders boasted, belittled, and threatened. Instead of infidelities and family secrets, the conversations at Davos took place against the backdrop of proposed land… Continue reading The Man Who Would Be King (of the World)
US Foreign Policy
When Robert F. Kennedy, Jr, the secretary of Health and Human Services, wanted to change his agency’s dietary recommendations, he did something very simple. He took the food pyramid and turned it upside down. After years of promoting healthy grains, pulses, and vegetables, the agency was now favoring meat and dairy. It seemed like a… Continue reading Trump Tries to Overturn the World Order
US Foreign Policy
The protests taking place in Iran, which have left thousands dead, have raised the possibility that the theocratic government is on the verge of collapse. “I assume that we are now witnessing the final days and weeks of this regime,” German Chancellor Friedrich Merz declared this week. If this in fact happens, Iran would follow the examples… Continue reading Is Iran Next?
US Foreign Policy
As a Christmas present to his evangelical base, Donald Trump ordered military strikes against an Islamic State offshoot in Nigeria on December 25. On a day usually reserved for celebrations of the birth of a man who urged his followers to “turn the other cheek,” Christian lawmakers like Ted Cruz (R-TX), Tom Cotton (R-AK), and… Continue reading The Power Play President
US Domestic Policy
I have always supported the idea of government. In a well-functioning democracy, voters elect their representatives to enact policies that reflect the priorities of the population. Ideally, such governments attend to the necessary functions of the state, like funding public education and maintaining the social safety net. Governments also uphold the constitutional order, ensuring that… Continue reading Trump Destroys Government
Latin America
Donald Trump certainly has global ambitions. He is using tariffs to remake the global economy. He is withdrawing the United States from as many multinational organizations and agreements as possible in order to destroy the liberal international order. And he has alternated between confronting adversaries (like Iran) and brokering ceasefires (like the one in Gaza).… Continue reading The Geopolitics of Trump’s Venezuela Campaign
Russia and Eastern Europe
Here’s how oligarchs play their game of geopolitical three-card monte. They attract attention by promising the moon. Then they hide their real motivations in a duplicitous shuffle of the cards. The ensuing action is a razzle-dazzle of distraction. In the end, the oligarchs win, and everyone else loses. On the Russian side, oligarch-in-chief Vladimir Putin… Continue reading An Oligarch’s Guide to Ending the War in Ukraine
US Foreign Policy
Ecuador, once one of the most peaceful countries in Latin America, is now one of its most dangerous. The murder rate in 2020 was 7.7 homicides per 100,000 people. That was roughly comparable to the United States where it was 6.4 that year. In nearby Brazil, on the other hand, it was 22.3. By 2023, Ecuador’s homicide… Continue reading US Military Is No Answer to Narcotraffickers
US Foreign Policy
On his recent tour of Asia, Donald Trump picked up a number of gifts, including a golden replica of a Silla crown in South Korea and a golden golf club in Japan. Trump has a well-known penchant for gold: the Oval Office has been redecorated in gold complete with gold trophies and golden coasters with… Continue reading Trump Should Win the Nobel War Prize