The protests taking place in Iran, which have left thousands dead, have raised the possibility that the theocratic government is on the verge of collapse. “I assume that we are now witnessing the final days and weeks of this regime,” German Chancellor Friedrich Merz declared this week. If this in fact happens, Iran would follow the examples… Continue reading Is Iran Next?
As a Christmas present to his evangelical base, Donald Trump ordered military strikes against an Islamic State offshoot in Nigeria on December 25. On a day usually reserved for celebrations of the birth of a man who urged his followers to “turn the other cheek,” Christian lawmakers like Ted Cruz (R-TX), Tom Cotton (R-AK), and… Continue reading The Power Play President
I have always supported the idea of government. In a well-functioning democracy, voters elect their representatives to enact policies that reflect the priorities of the population. Ideally, such governments attend to the necessary functions of the state, like funding public education and maintaining the social safety net. Governments also uphold the constitutional order, ensuring that… Continue reading Trump Destroys Government
Donald Trump certainly has global ambitions. He is using tariffs to remake the global economy. He is withdrawing the United States from as many multinational organizations and agreements as possible in order to destroy the liberal international order. And he has alternated between confronting adversaries (like Iran) and brokering ceasefires (like the one in Gaza).… Continue reading The Geopolitics of Trump’s Venezuela Campaign
Here’s how oligarchs play their game of geopolitical three-card monte. They attract attention by promising the moon. Then they hide their real motivations in a duplicitous shuffle of the cards. The ensuing action is a razzle-dazzle of distraction. In the end, the oligarchs win, and everyone else loses. On the Russian side, oligarch-in-chief Vladimir Putin… Continue reading An Oligarch’s Guide to Ending the War in Ukraine
Ecuador, once one of the most peaceful countries in Latin America, is now one of its most dangerous. The murder rate in 2020 was 7.7 homicides per 100,000 people. That was roughly comparable to the United States where it was 6.4 that year. In nearby Brazil, on the other hand, it was 22.3. By 2023, Ecuador’s homicide… Continue reading US Military Is No Answer to Narcotraffickers
On his recent tour of Asia, Donald Trump picked up a number of gifts, including a golden replica of a Silla crown in South Korea and a golden golf club in Japan. Trump has a well-known penchant for gold: the Oval Office has been redecorated in gold complete with gold trophies and golden coasters with… Continue reading Trump Should Win the Nobel War Prize
Donald Trump loves to pivot. He is restless, he has some form of attention deficit disorder, and he likes to keep his enemies and adversaries guessing. Sometimes he pivots so many times, as he has on the war in Ukraine, that he completes a full circle with his pirouette. This week, Trump is pirouetting through… Continue reading Trump’s Pacific Pivot
Under the Trump administration, the United States has taken a giant step backward on civil rights. The administration’s efforts have gone far beyond the cancellation of the diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) efforts of the Biden years. By rolling back the enforcement of civil rights law—in employment, education, housing, and environment—the administration has effectively… Continue reading The Reparations Movement: Flourishing Amid Backlash
Donald Trump hates Antifa. He hates late-night TV hosts, Democratic-controlled cities, and anyone who has ever challenged him in court. As of October, he officially hates the Nobel committee for not giving him a peace prize, despite his efforts to strong-arm its members into voting for him. The president has gone after everyone he thinks… Continue reading The Multipolarism of Fools
The Trump administration aspires to deport a million people in its first year of office. The president has also spoken of the more ambitious goal of deporting 15-20 million undocumented people overall, even if that category probably covers only 14 million folks. The discrepancy of a couple million people shouldn’t bother Trump. He’s happy to… Continue reading America’s Disappeared
All the living hostages held by Hamas returned to Israel this week. The 20 men have been reunited with their ecstatic families. It’s extraordinary that they are still alive, more than two years after Hamas and its allies seized them along with around 230 others after the attacks of October 7. They survived two years… Continue reading Gaza: Deal or No Deal
Every autocrat needs an enemy who threatens the country—preferably from both sides of the border. Such an enemy can serve as the reason to suspend the rule of law and boost executive power. For Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan, it’s been the Kurds. For India’s Narendra Modi, it’s been the Muslims. For Russia’s Vladimir Putin, it… Continue reading Is American Carnage About to Spread to Venezuela?
World leaders meet every September for the UN General Assembly. There have been plenty of weird moments over the years: Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev banging his shoe on the table in 1960 to stop the leader of another country from criticizing him, Fidel Castro going on for more than four hours in a speech that… Continue reading Trump at the UN: The Braggadocio of Evil
Jesters once had considerably more leeway than the average person to make fun of the king. If otherwise loyal subjects made light of their leader, they could lose their head. Jesters, however, could test the limits of the possible with relative impunity—until they crossed the line and lost their heads as well. Donald Trump hasn’t… Continue reading Trump: It’s Not Funny Anymore
In military coups, the generals take over from one day to the next. Civilian presidents, when they declare martial law, assume emergency powers and start immediately ruling like dictators. But the more common method of destroying a democracy these days is through death by a thousand cuts. Elected leaders only gradually undermine democratic institutions and… Continue reading Slow-Motion Authoritarianism
The Trump administration is currently attempting to rewrite American history by whitewashing the country’s negative legacy and scrubbing out references to anything connected to multiculturalism or diversity. Gone is Harvey Milk’s name from a Navy ship and Bea Arthur’s contributions to the Marine Corps from a Pentagon webpage. The administration attempted to remove Harriet Tubman… Continue reading The Geopolitics of the “Great Man”
Most Israelis are too focused on the atrocities that Hamas committed on October 7 to acknowledge, much less denounce, the atrocities their government is committing on an ongoing basis in Gaza. The Israeli public is desperate to save the 20 or so remaining Israeli hostages that are being hidden somewhere in that besieged strip. Israelis… Continue reading Is a State the Reward for Genocide?
Sometimes, when the electricity goes out in a city, everyone works together to maintain order, help the most vulnerable residents, and find ways of coping with the temporary disruption. Every so often, however, a blackout leads to anarchy: looting, violence, and all against all. To many observers, the world is currently experiencing a blackout with… Continue reading Is the World Order Collapsing?
He promised to end the war in 24 hours. He made nice with Russian President Vladimir Putin and parroted Kremlin talking points. He humiliated Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky in front of the cameras in the Oval Office. He refused to send more weapons to Ukraine. But that was the old Donald Trump. The new Donald… Continue reading Trump’s About-Face on Ukraine
There are always worse political figures waiting in the wings. In Israel, for instance, Benjamin Netanyahu is a relative moderate compared to some members of his cabinet, like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, who believes that letting two million Palestinians die of hunger in Gaza is “justified and moral.” In Russia, ultranationalists to the right of Putin espouse racist… Continue reading A New Far Right American Party?
A spate of break-ins has been taking place in your neighborhood. Armed thugs associated with a crime syndicate have been knocking down doors and grabbing what they can. The police show up only after the assaults, which have led to injuries and even a few deaths. Under-resourced and overstretched, they haven’t been able to thwart… Continue reading Iran and the Nuclear Order
“We’re back,” I tell the room. It’s January 21, 2029, and I can barely contain my excitement. “America is back!” I expect applause, but there is none. I try again, louder this time. “After four long years, America is finally back! We’re ready to resume our international obligations!” The members of the U.N. Human Rights… Continue reading Approaching the End of Liberal Internationalism
The Trump administration has sidelined Congress, violated the U.S. Constitution, and taken an axe to both the U.S. and the global economies. Trump has issued executive orders that give him unprecedented presidential powers. The courts have blocked many of his policies, but in the budget bill pending in the Senate, there is a clause buried in… Continue reading Martial Law in the United States
The falling out between Donald Trump and Elon Musk would make a grand opera. Two titans of business who entered a political marriage of convenience have had a predictable clash of egos and, instead of parting company privately, have flung mud at each other in public. Coming to the Met in 2026: Philip Glass’ monumental Musk… Continue reading War at the Top
Beginning in the late 1980s, Eastern Europe shifted from being a political backwater to a political bellwether. By shrugging off the Soviet yoke and exiting communism, the region pointed toward the future collapse of the Soviet Union and the cresting of a third wave of democratization. The fast-track liberalizations of Eastern Europe in the 1990s… Continue reading The Far Right’s Tipping Point
The clean energy transition that the Biden administration touted as the focus of its industrial policy required large amounts of mineral inputs. Batteries for electric vehicles depend on lithium, solar panels contain gallium and molybdenum, and powerful magnets in wind turbines can’t be built without rare earth elements. Biden’s landmark legislation, such as the 2022… Continue reading Trump Dreams of Minerals: in Ukraine and Greenland
It’s always been something of a shock to return to the United States after a stay in Europe or northeast Asia. Things just run better in those parts of the world. The public transportation is fast and efficient. The medical services provide universal care. Infrastructure isn’t in a state of decline. Green spaces are well… Continue reading Department of Government Chaos, Revenge, and Patronage
Donald Trump is a polarizing figure in the United States. He has also succeeded in dividing the world. Particularly with the tariffs he instituted on “Liberation Day,” Trump has transformed the political landscape in countries around the world. In the recent Canadian elections, for instance, the candidate most like Trump saw his popularity crater after… Continue reading The Trump Effect on Elections Globally
Maybe you remember an incident like this from your schooldays. Someone in your class has done something wrong, like pass around a caricature of the principal, and the teacher decides to punish the whole class by taking away your recess. Maybe this is done to force the culprit to confess, or to pressure you and… Continue reading The Obscenity of Collective Punishment in Gaza